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Sellers Outnumber Buyers by 70.5%, a Record for a Sixth Straight Month, and Just 3 Metros Still Favor Sellers

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Key Takeaways Sellers outnumbered buyers by 70.5% in October 2026, the widest gap in Redfin records dating back to 2013 and a record for a sixth straight month. Buyers fell to a record low of 895,752, down 2% in one month, while sellers rose 0.9% to 1,526,984, the most since March 2020. Just 3 of the 50 most populous metros were seller's markets, all in the Northeast, and 41 were buyer's markets, led by Miami at 195.8% more sellers than buyers. The gap widened because buyers retreated, not because sellers flooded the market, and even the 3 seller's markets got weaker in October. Homebuyers had more negotiating power in October than at any point in Redfin's records. The brokerage's October buyers-versus-sellers report , released November 12, counted an estimated 70.5% more home sellers than buyers nationwide. That is the biggest gap in records dating back to 2013. It is also the sixth record-breaking month in a row, up from 65.6% in September. The Gap Widened Because...

Card Debt Swung From Falling to a 14.5% Surge in One Month, and the Average Card APR Is 22.36%

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Key Takeaways Consumer credit rose $27.84 billion in September 2026, more than double the $11.5 billion increase economists expected, according to the Federal Reserve's G.19 report released November 6. Revolving credit, mostly credit cards, swung from a 4.4% annualized decline in August to a 14.5% annualized surge in September, and supplied more than half of the month's total increase. The average APR on credit card accounts assessed interest reached 22.36%, so the fastest-growing debt in the report is also the most expensive mainstream borrowing in it. The G.19 report excludes loans secured by real estate, which makes it a clean early-warning gauge of how stretched homebuyers and tenants are before they ever reach a mortgage application. American households did not just borrow more in September. They borrowed in the most expensive way available to them, and they did it suddenly. The Federal Reserve released its G.19 Consumer Credit report on November 6, 2026, covering Septembe...

Apartment Rents Fell 0.7% in October, but Annual Growth Hit 1.7%, the Strongest Since May 2023

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Key Takeaways Same-store effective asking rents rose 1.7% year over year in October, the biggest annual increase since May 2023, according to RealPage Market Analytics. Rents actually fell 0.7% during October itself, the first monthly rent cut in the United States in calendar 2026, so the annual milestone came mostly from weak rent performance a year ago falling out of the calculation. U.S. apartment occupancy eased to 95% in October, down 20 basis points from September but still 10 basis points ahead of October 2025. The split by market is extreme: San Francisco rents rose 14.7% over the year while San Antonio fell 2.6%, the deepest cut among the 50 largest apartment markets. Two rent numbers landed for October, and they point in opposite directions. Which one a landlord prices from makes a real difference. RealPage Market Analytics published its October 2026 data update on November 6 and updated it on November 11. It covers same-store effective asking rents, occupancy, and the supply...

Early October Sales Fell 13.7%, and Tomorrow's NAR Report Could Set a New Cycle Low

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Key Takeaways Sales in the early-reporting local markets tracked by Calculated Risk fell 13.7% year over year in October on a not-seasonally-adjusted basis, a much steeper drop than the 5.2% decline those same markets posted in September. The consensus for the National Association of REALTORS® report due Thursday, November 12, is 3.87 million sales at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, down from 3.99 million in September and only 20,000 above the current cycle low of 3.85 million from October 2023. October had one fewer working day than October 2025, 21 against 22, so the seasonally adjusted headline will not look as weak as the raw 13.7% drop suggests. New listings in those early markets fell 4.9% year over year after rising 1.0% in September, while inventory rose 4.3% year over year, up from a 2.2% gain the month before. The national October sales number is not out until tomorrow. The local numbers that arrive first are already pointing down, hard. Calculated Risk published its secon...

Moving Would Cost the Typical Mortgage Holder 85.3% More a Month, and Even a 6% Rate Leaves a 61.7% Jump

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Key Takeaways The typical U.S. mortgage holder pays $1,332 a month in principal and interest at a rate of about 4.0%, but buying the median-priced home at 7.32% would cost an estimated $2,468 a month, an 85.3% jump of about $1,100. Portland, Maine, faces the steepest jump in the country at 167.0%, ahead of San Jose at 164.8% and Los Angeles at 161.9%, while Pittsburgh has the smallest gap at 43.3%. Rates would need to fall to about 6.0% for half of U.S. households to afford the median-priced home, and even then the typical payment would still run 61.7% higher than what current mortgage holders pay. Most homeowners who might like to move are doing the math and staying put. A Realtor.com report released on November 11, 2026 , puts a hard number on why: the typical mortgage holder would need about $1,100 more each month in principal and interest to buy a median-priced home today. The report compares what current mortgage holders actually pay with what buying now would cost. The typical ou...

Mortgage Applications Rose 6.2% as Rates Fell a Fourth Straight Week to 7.21%

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Key Takeaways Mortgage applications rose 6.2% in the week ending November 6, 2026, with purchase applications up 8% and refinance applications up 5%. The average 30-year conforming rate fell to 7.21% from 7.30%, a fourth straight weekly decline and the lowest since mid-September. Demand is still far below last year: purchase applications were 18% lower than a year ago and refinance applications were 57% lower. The FHA rate moved back below 7%, more than 20 basis points under the conforming rate, and the ARM share fell to 10.9% as fixed rates eased. Mortgage demand finally answered four straight weeks of falling rates. The Mortgage Bankers Association's Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending November 6, 2026, released November 11, showed total application volume up 6.2% on a seasonally adjusted basis. The gain was broad. Purchase applications rose 8% and refinance applications rose 5%, and both government-backed channels posted strong growth. Four Weeks of Falling ...

Mortgage Debt Hit $13.4 Trillion, but Half the Jump Was Paperwork, and HELOCs Just Had Their Biggest Quarter Since 2005

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Key Takeaways Total household debt rose $334 billion, or 1.8 percent, to $19.1 trillion in the third quarter of 2026, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York report released November 10. Mortgage balances rose $257 billion to $13.4 trillion, but about half of that increase was balances being reported again after a gap in the previous quarter, not new borrowing. Home equity line of credit balances rose $23 billion to $481 billion, the largest quarterly increase since 2005 and the 18th straight quarterly gain. 5.0 percent of outstanding debt was in some stage of delinquency, up 0.3 percentage points from the previous quarter, while the New York Fed says the overall credit quality of housing debt remains strong. Household debt hit another record in the third quarter, and housing debt did most of the lifting. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York released its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Total household debt expanded by $334 billion...