Southern California Homebuying Sinks Below 2008
What’s Driving Southern California’s Housing Slowdown? Squeezed by mortgage rates above 6 percent, Southern California buyers have lost a severe amount of purchasing power. That has sharply reduced demand across the region. In December, the average Southern California home price fell to $854,993, reaching its lowest value since March 2024. Compared with the pandemic period, when borrowing costs sat below 3 percent, today’s financing conditions leave households qualifying for far less. Median monthly payments above $5,900 in 2025 have pushed many first-time and move-up buyers out of contention. Even so, this slowdown looks more like a market stall than a crash, as high capital costs and buyer hesitation are reducing activity without triggering forced selling. Supply Problems Worsen Strain The slowdown also reflects a chronic housing shortage. The region has underbuilt for decades, producing fewer than 80,000 homes annually despite needing roughly 180,000. Single-family restrictions, z...